2.Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Miro Muheim 7' goal
  • Miro Muheim 7' goal
  • Davie Selke 39' goal
  • Florian Kastenmeier 66' goal
  • Davie Selke 68' yellowcard
  • Otto Emerson Stange 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Kastenmeier 8'
  • goal Dawid Kownacki 18'
  • yellowcard Jamil Siebert 58'
  • yellowcard Andre Hoffmann 68'

Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Dusseldorf - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 12.30pm
SC Paderborn 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Davie Selke

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 5.30pm
Dusseldorf 1 - 2 Greuther Furth
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Dawid Kownacki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result

Hamburger SV 50.05% (-0.32)
Draw 23.09% (+0.24)
Fortuna Dusseldorf 26.87% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.92% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.16% (-1.02)
Under 2.5 40.84% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 36.78% (-1.05)
Under 3.5 63.22% (+1.05)
Over 4.5 19.61% (-0.81)
Under 4.5 80.39% (+0.81)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 83.51% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 16.49% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 53.79% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 46.21% (+0.89)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5 71.76% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 28.24% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 36.05% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 63.95% (+0.60)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 50.05%
Draw 23.08%
Fortuna Dusseldorf 26.87%
Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.08)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 50.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.66% (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.08%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
1-2 @ 6.71% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.89% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 3.72% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 26.87%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Valgeir Fridriksson 35' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Haag 81' redcard
  • Andre Hoffmann 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Luc Dompe 8'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Schonlau 45'
  • yellowcard Noah Katterbach 65'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 83'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Felix Klaus 11' goal
  • Jamil Siebert 56' yellowcard
  • Christos Tzolis 63' goal
  • Isak Bergmann Johannesson 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moritz Heyer 27'
  • redcard Moritz Heyer 51'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Dennis Hadzikadunic 41' yellowcard
  • Ignace Van Der Brempt 54' yellowcard
  • Laszlo Benes 83' goal
  • Jean-Luc Dompe 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isak Bergmann Johannesson 47'
  • yellowcard Yannik Engelhardt 56'
  • yellowcard Matthias Zimmermann 74'
  • redcard Matthias Zimmermann 76'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Iyoha 82'
  • yellowcard Jamil Siebert 90'+6'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 31, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Dawid Kownacki 21' goal
  • Felix Klaus 28' goal
  • goal Laszlo Benes 5'
  • goal Christoph Klarer 75' (OG)
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Sep 17, 2022 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Glatzel 21' goal
  • Bakery Jatta 90' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edgar Prib 73' yellowcard
  • Adam Bodzek 85' goal
  • Adam Bodzek 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bakery Jatta 33'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 90'+3'