Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
50.05% ( -0.32)	23.09% ( 0.23)	26.87% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 59.92% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.16% (

-1.01)

40.84% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.78% (

-1.04)

63.22% (

1.05)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

-0.49)

16.49% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

-0.88)

46.21% (

0.88)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.47)

28.24% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.59)

63.95% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 50.05%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 26.87%

Draw 23.08%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 26.87%