Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.