Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle United in this match.