World Cup
USA
Jul 7, 2026 1.00am
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Seattle Stadium
Belgium
  • Malik Tillman 31' goal
  • Weston McKennie 35' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 69' yellowcard
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 9'
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 33'
  • goal Hans Vanaken 57'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 90'+3'

USA vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Belgium

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for USA had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest USA win was 2-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%).

Result

USA 26.35% ▲ (+4.50)
Draw 23.76% ▲ (+1.32)
Belgium 49.89% ▼ (-5.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.49% ▲ (+1.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 20.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 57.21% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 42.79% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 34.99% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 65.01% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 4.5 21.61% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 4.5 78.39% ▼ (-0.65)

First Half Winner

USA 22.41% ▲ (+22.41)
Draw 41.07% ▲ (+41.07)
Belgium 36.51% ▲ (+36.51)

Team To Score First

USA 38.88% ▲ (+38.89)
No Goal 5.59% ▲ (+5.59)
Belgium 55.53% ▲ (+55.53)

Corners

Over 8 47.46% ▲ (+47.46)
Equal 8 11.35% ▲ (+11.35)
Under 8 41.19% ▲ (+41.19)
Over 9 36.77% ▲ (+36.78)
Equal 9 10.7% ▲ (+10.70)
Under 9 52.54% ▲ (+52.54)
Over 10.5 27.45% ▲ (+27.45)
Under 10.5 72.55% ▲ (+72.55)

USA Goals

Over 1.5 30.98% ▲ (+4.57)
Under 1.5 69.02% ▼ (-4.58)
Over 2.5 11.8% ▲ (+2.96)
Under 2.5 88.2% ▼ (-2.96)
Over 3.5 3.69% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 3.5 96.31% ▼ (-1.25)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 79.53% ▼ (-3.27)
Under 0.5 20.47% ▲ (+3.26)
Over 1.5 50.94% ▼ (-3.90)
Under 1.5 49.06% ▲ (+3.90)
Over 2.5 25.74% ▼ (-2.82)
Under 2.5 74.26% ▲ (+2.83)
Over 3.5 11.16% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 3.5 88.84% ▲ (+0.97)

Score analysis

USA 26.36%
Draw 23.75%
Belgium 49.89%
USA
2-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.92)
1-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.55)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.63)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.51)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.55)
Other @ 3.38% ▲ (+1.11)
Total : 26.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.44)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 23.75%
Belgium
1-2 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.54)
0-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.90)
0-2 @ 8.04% ▼ (-1.02)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▼ (-1.03)
0-3 @ 4.58% ▼ (-1.08)
2-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 10.85% ▼ (-1.10)
Total : 49.89%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
USA
Mar 28, 2026 7.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Belgium
  • Weston McKennie 39' goal
  • Cristian Roldán 46' yellowcard
  • Alex Freeman 64' yellowcard
  • Max Arfsten 64' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Berhalter 64' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 70' yellowcard
  • Patrick Agyemang 71' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Scally 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Scally 74' yellowcard
  • Patrick Agyemang 87' goal
  • goal Zeno Debast 45'
  • goal Amadou Onana 53'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 59'
  • yellowcard Loïs Openda 61'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Seys 61'
  • yellowcard Loïs Openda 62'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 62'
  • yellowcard Arthur Theate 62'
  • yellowcard Dodi Lukébakio 62'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ngoy 62'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Seys 62'
  • yellowcard Arthur Theate 63'
  • yellowcard Loïs Openda 63'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Seys 63'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ngoy 63'
  • yellowcard Dodi Lukébakio 63'
  • goal Dodi Lukébakio 68'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 70'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 70'
  • yellowcard Mika Godts 70'
  • yellowcard Timothy Castagne 70'
  • yellowcard Nathan De Cat 70'
  • yellowcard Mika Godts 71'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 71'
  • yellowcard Timothy Castagne 72'
  • yellowcard Nathan De Cat 72'
  • goal Dodi Lukébakio 82'
World Cup
Belgium
Jul 1, 2014 9.00pm
2
1
ET Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
USA
  • Vincent Kompany 42' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 93' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 105' goal
  • yellowcard Geoff Cameron 18'
  • goal Julian Green 107'
International Friendlies
USA
May 30, 2013 1.00am
2
4
HT : 2 3
FT
Belgium
  • Geoff Cameron 0' goal
  • Clint Dempsey 0' goal
  • goal Kevin Mirallas 0'
  • goal Christian Benteke 0'
  • goal Marouane Fellaini 0'
World Cup
USA
Jul 13, 1930 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Parque Central
Belgium
  • Bart McGhee 23' goal
  • Tom Florie 45' goal
  • Bert Patenaude 69' goal

Form Data

USA 2 - 0 Bosnia H'vina
Turkey 3 - 2 USA
USA 2 - 0 Australia
USA 4 - 1 Paraguay
USA 1 - 2 Germany
USA 3 - 2 Senegal
Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal
New Zealand 1 - 5 Belgium
Belgium 0 - 0 Iran
Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt
Belgium 5 - 0 Tunisia
Croatia 0 - 2 Belgium

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