World Cup
Jul 7, 2026 1.00am
Seattle Stadium

USA vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Belgium

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw has a probability of 22.25% and a win for USA has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.4%) , while for a USA win it is 2-1 (5.64%).

Result

USA 21.4% (-0.31)
Draw 22.25% (+0.06)
Belgium 56.35% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (-0.56)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.85% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 20.15% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 57.35% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 42.65% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 35% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 65% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 21.33% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 78.67% (+0.30)

USA Goals

Over 1.5 26.1% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 73.9% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 8.7% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 91.3% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 2.39% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.61% (+0.10)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 83.16% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.84% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.48% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 44.52% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 29.18% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 70.82% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 12.52% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 87.48% (+0.07)

Score analysis

USA 21.4%
Draw 22.26%
Belgium 56.35%
USA
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 5.49% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.05% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.22% (-0.09)
Total : 21.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.08% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 22.26%
Belgium
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 9.59% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 9.11% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 6.25% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.76% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 12.35% (-0.06)
Total : 56.35%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 7.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Weston McKennie 39' goal
  • Cristian Roldán 46' yellowcard
  • Alex Freeman 64' yellowcard
  • Max Arfsten 64' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Berhalter 64' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 70' yellowcard
  • Patrick Agyemang 71' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Scally 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Scally 74' yellowcard
  • Patrick Agyemang 87' goal
  • goal Zeno Debast 45'
  • goal Amadou Onana 53'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 59'
  • yellowcard Loïs Openda 61'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Seys 61'
  • yellowcard Loïs Openda 62'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 62'
  • yellowcard Arthur Theate 62'
  • yellowcard Dodi Lukébakio 62'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ngoy 62'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Seys 62'
  • yellowcard Arthur Theate 63'
  • yellowcard Loïs Openda 63'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Seys 63'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ngoy 63'
  • yellowcard Dodi Lukébakio 63'
  • goal Dodi Lukébakio 68'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 70'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 70'
  • yellowcard Mika Godts 70'
  • yellowcard Timothy Castagne 70'
  • yellowcard Nathan De Cat 70'
  • yellowcard Mika Godts 71'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 71'
  • yellowcard Timothy Castagne 72'
  • yellowcard Nathan De Cat 72'
  • goal Dodi Lukébakio 82'
World Cup
Jul 1, 2014 9.00pm
2
1
ET Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
  • Vincent Kompany 42' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 93' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 105' goal
  • yellowcard Geoff Cameron 18'
  • goal Julian Green 107'
International Friendlies
May 30, 2013 1.00am
2
4
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Geoff Cameron 0' goal
  • Clint Dempsey 0' goal
  • goal Kevin Mirallas 0'
  • goal Christian Benteke 0'
  • goal Marouane Fellaini 0'
World Cup
Jul 13, 1930 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Parque Central
  • Bart McGhee 23' goal
  • Tom Florie 45' goal
  • Bert Patenaude 69' goal