Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Iran had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.