World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 21, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Los Angeles Stadium
  • Romelu Lukaku 3' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 4' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ngoy 66' redcard
  • Nathan Ngoy 67' redcard
  • yellowcard Saeed Ezatolahi 33'

Belgium vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Feature
Feature

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 15, 2026 8.00pm
Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt

Iran

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 2.00am
Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Iran had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Belgium 51.9% (+0.05)
Draw 23.85% (+0.06)
Iran 24.3% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.09% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 22.91% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 53.35% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 46.65% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 31.15% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 68.85% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 18.11% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 81.89% (+0.18)

Belgium Goals

Over 1.5 50.11% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 49.89% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 24.46% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 75.54% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 9.73% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 90.27% (+0.07)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5 60.27% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 39.73% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 27.22% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 72.78% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 9.09% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 90.91% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.48% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.52% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Belgium 51.91%
Draw 23.86%
Iran 24.31%
Belgium
1-0 @ 10.26% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.58% (-0.06)
Total : 51.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.08% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 23.86%
Iran
0-1 @ 6.65% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.33% (-0.05)
Total : 24.31%

Build-up

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