International Friendlies
May 29, 2026 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mardan Stadyumu
  • Arya Yousefi 47' goal
  • Ramin Rezaeian 59' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 68' goal
  • yellowcard Adama Bojang 39'
  • goal Omar Colley 42'

Iran vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 2.00pm
Iran 5 - 0 Costa Rica

Gambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 8.00pm
Senegal 3 - 1 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Iran had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Iran win was 1-0 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Iran 32.73% ▼ (-26.27)
Draw 23.35%
Gambia 43.92% ▲ (+26.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.21%
Under 3.5 70.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.42% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Iran 47.01%
Draw 38.24%
Gambia 14.75%

Team To Score First

Iran 64.44%
No Goal 6.9%
Gambia 28.66%

Corners

Over 8 36.36%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 52.32%
Over 9 26.64%
Equal 9 9.72%
Under 9 63.65%
Over 10.5 18.9%
Under 10.5 81.1%

Iran Goals

Over 1.5 31.79% ▼ (-21.31)
Under 1.5 68.21% ▲ (+21.31)
Over 2.5 13.85% ▼ (-13.48)
Under 2.5 86.15% ▲ (+13.49)
Over 3.5 5.4% ▼ (-6.04)
Under 3.5 94.6% ▲ (+6.04)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 71.95% ▲ (+19.31)
Under 0.5 28.05% ▼ (-19.30)
Over 1.5 41.48% ▲ (+21.32)
Under 1.5 58.52% ▼ (-21.32)
Over 2.5 18.98% ▲ (+13.52)
Under 2.5 81.02% ▼ (-13.52)
Over 3.5 7.39% ▲ (+6.06)
Under 3.5 92.61% ▼ (-6.07)

Score analysis

Iran 32.72%
Draw 23.36%
Gambia 43.92%
Iran
1-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-4.12)
2-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-3.22)
2-0 @ 4.84% ▼ (-5.47)
3-1 @ 2.9% ▼ (-2.86)
3-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-3.74)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.87)
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-6.04)
Total : 32.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.36%
Gambia
0-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+4.08)
0-2 @ 7.97% ▲ (+5.44)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+3.22)
0-3 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+2.85)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.85)
Other @ 7.3% ▲ (+6.06)
Total : 43.92%