International Friendlies
May 29, 2026 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
LIVE Mardan Stadyumu
  • Arya Yousefi 47' goal
  • goal Omar Colley 42'

Iran vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 2.00pm
Iran 5 - 0 Costa Rica

Gambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 8.00pm
Senegal 3 - 1 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gambia win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Iran has a probability of 32.73% and a draw has a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Iran win is 1-0 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.14%).

Result

Iran 32.73% (-26.27)
Draw 23.35%
Gambia 43.92% (+26.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.98% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.21%
Under 3.5 70.76% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.58% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.42% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Iran 47.01%
Draw 38.24%
Gambia 14.75%

Team To Score First

Iran 64.44%
No Goal 6.9%
Gambia 28.66%

Corners

Over 8 36.36%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 52.32%
Over 9 26.64%
Equal 9 9.72%
Under 9 63.65%
Over 10.5 18.9%
Under 10.5 81.1%

Iran Goals

Over 1.5 31.79% (-21.31)
Under 1.5 68.21% (+21.31)
Over 2.5 13.85% (-13.48)
Under 2.5 86.15% (+13.49)
Over 3.5 5.4% (-6.04)
Under 3.5 94.6% (+6.04)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 71.95% (+19.31)
Under 0.5 28.05% (-19.30)
Over 1.5 41.48% (+21.32)
Under 1.5 58.52% (-21.32)
Over 2.5 18.98% (+13.52)
Under 2.5 81.02% (-13.52)
Over 3.5 7.39% (+6.06)
Under 3.5 92.61% (-6.07)

Score analysis

Iran 32.72%
Draw 23.36%
Gambia 43.92%
Iran
1-0 @ 8.29% (-4.12)
2-1 @ 6.56% (-3.22)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-5.47)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-2.86)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-3.74)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.87)
Other @ 5.31% (-6.04)
Total : 32.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.36%
Gambia
0-1 @ 9.87% (+4.08)
0-2 @ 7.97% (+5.44)
1-2 @ 7.92% (+3.22)
0-3 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 4.24% (+2.85)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.85)
Other @ 7.3% (+6.06)
Total : 43.92%