International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Léopold Sédar Senghor

Senegal vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 4.00pm
Senegal 2 - 0 Peru

Gambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.19% and a win for Gambia has a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a Gambia win it is 0-1 (5.63%).

Result

Senegal 60.95% (-0.65)
Draw 23.19% (+0.29)
Gambia 15.89% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.67% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.37% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 28.63% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 46.34% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 53.66% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 24.9% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 75.1% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 15.05% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 84.95% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Senegal 39.02% (+0.73)
Draw 39.49% (-0.54)
Gambia 21.48% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Senegal 57.05% (+0.08)
No Goal 8.54% (+0.06)
Gambia 34.41% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 34.68% (-0.30)
Equal 8 11.16% (-0.23)
Under 8 54.15% (+0.51)
Over 9 25.23% (-0.09)
Equal 9 9.46% (-0.20)
Under 9 65.32% (+0.30)
Over 10.5 17.8% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 82.2% (-0.08)

Senegal Goals

Over 1.5 51.46% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 48.54% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 25.43% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 74.57% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 10.02% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.98% (+0.08)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 47.42% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 52.58% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 16.75% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 83.25% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 4.45% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 95.55% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 1.26% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 98.74% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Senegal 60.97%
Draw 23.19%
Gambia 15.89%
Senegal
1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 12.22% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 7.35% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 10.01% (-0.09)
Total : 60.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 8.54% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.58% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.19%
Gambia
0-1 @ 5.63% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-2 @ 2.26% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.13% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.25% (+0.11)
Total : 15.89%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 15, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Yamoussoukro
  • Pape Gueye 4' goal
  • Abdou Diallo 9' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 52' goal
  • Lamine Camara 86' goal
  • Lamine Camara 90'+5' yellowcard
  • redcard Ebou Adams 45'+7'