Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 18, 2026 7.00pm
Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah

Senegal vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Morocco

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Winner Semi-final 2 win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Winner Semi-final 1 has a probability of 35.25% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Winner Semi-final 2 win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Winner Semi-final 1 win is 1-0 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).

Result

Senegal 35.25%
Draw 25.1%
Morocco 39.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

58%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.09%
Under 1.5 22.91%
Over 2.5 55%
Under 2.5 45%
Over 3.5 34.25%
Under 3.5 65.75%
Over 4.5 20.83%
Under 4.5 79.17%

Senegal Goals

Over 1.5 38.17%
Under 1.5 61.83%
Over 2.5 16.92%
Under 2.5 83.08%
Over 3.5 6.46%
Under 3.5 93.54%

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 72.31%
Under 0.5 27.69%
Over 1.5 41.54%
Under 1.5 58.46%
Over 2.5 18.77%
Under 2.5 81.23%
Over 3.5 7.14%
Under 3.5 92.86%

Score analysis

Senegal 35.25%
Draw 25.1%
Morocco 39.64%
Senegal
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.32%
Other @ 6.13%
Total : 35.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 25.1%
Morocco
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.92%
Other @ 6.81%
Total : 39.64%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 9, 2020 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
  • Selim Amallah 10' goal
  • Issam Chebake 37' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 71' goal
  • Youssef El-Arabi 86' goal
  • yellowcard Krepin Diatta 43'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 88'