Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.35% and a win for Peru had a probability of 9.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.97%) , while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood.