World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 16, 2026 2.00am
Los Angeles Stadium

Iran vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

New Zealand

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw has a probability of 23.15% and a win for New Zealand has a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a New Zealand win it is 0-1 (6.24%).

Result

Iran 56.3%
Draw 23.15% (-0.16)
New Zealand 20.45% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.35% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.9% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 24.1% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 51.75% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 48.3% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 29.6% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 70.4% (-0.45)
Over 4.5 17.36% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 82.64% (-0.32)

Iran Goals

Over 1.5 52.18% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 47.82% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 26.09% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 73.91% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 10.58% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 89.42% (-0.15)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 55.54% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 44.46% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 22.71% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 77.29% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 6.82% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 93.18% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 1.67% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.33% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Iran 56.3%
Draw 23.15%
New Zealand 20.45%
Iran
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.06)
Other @ 10.48% (+0.16)
Total : 56.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.15%
New Zealand
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.35% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.57% (+0.06)
Total : 20.45%