Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw has a probability of 23.15% and a win for New Zealand has a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a New Zealand win it is 0-1 (6.24%).