Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.34% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 3-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%) , while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.21%).