International Friendlies
Apr 1, 2026 12.30am
BMO Field

Canada vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
Canada 2 - 2 Iceland

Tunisia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 12.00am
Haiti 0 - 1 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Canada win with a probability of 42.25%. A draw has a probability of 30.13% and a win for Tunisia has a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.14%) , while for a Tunisia win it is 0-1 (10.44%).

Result

Canada 42.25% (+1.04)
Draw 30.13% (-0.11)
Tunisia 27.62% (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.44% (+0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.96% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 37.04% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 36.82% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 63.18% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 17.7% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 82.31% (-0.63)
Over 4.5 8.86% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 91.14% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Canada 30.41% (+0.83)
Draw 43.06% (-0.66)
Tunisia 26.53% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Canada 46.22% (+0.20)
No Goal 12.46% (-0.07)
Tunisia 41.32% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 45.19% (+0.35)
Equal 8 11.79% (-0.04)
Under 8 43.02% (-0.33)
Over 9 34.3% (+0.35)
Equal 9 10.89%
Under 9 54.81% (-0.35)
Over 10.5 25.02% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 74.98% (-0.33)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 33.77% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 66.23% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 12.41% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 87.59% (-0.62)
Over 3.5 3.63% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 96.37% (-0.27)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 58.09% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 41.91% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 23.35% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 76.65% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 7.04% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.96% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.97% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Canada 42.25%
Draw 30.13%
Tunisia 27.63%
Canada
1-0 @ 14.15% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.3% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.04% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.46% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.12% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.63% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.55% (+0.27)
Total : 42.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 12.46% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.88% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 30.13%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.40)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.14% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Total : 27.63%