International Friendlies
Apr 1, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Kamal Miller 26' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jebbison 58' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio  58' yellowcard
  • Derek Cornelius 58' yellowcard
  • Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 76' yellowcard
  • Ali Ahmed 76' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 76' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louey Ben Farhat 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Tounekti 46'
  • yellowcard K. Ayari 46'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida 57'
  • yellowcard Rayan Elloumi 58'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 58'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida 58'
  • yellowcard Ismaël Gharbi 70'
  • yellowcard Firas Chaouat 86'

Canada vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
Canada 2 - 2 Iceland

Tunisia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 12.00am
Haiti 0 - 1 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.43%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 28.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%) , while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Canada 41.43%
Draw 30.4%
Tunisia 28.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.9% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.09% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 37.91% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 35.74% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 64.26% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 16.79% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 83.21% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.27% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 91.73% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Canada 30.31%
Draw 42.95%
Tunisia 26.74%

Team To Score First

Canada 45.4% (+0.02)
No Goal 12.85% (-0.05)
Tunisia 41.75% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 46.32% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 41.81% (+0.03)
Over 9 35.27% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 53.68% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 25.77% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.23% (+0.02)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 32.52% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 67.48% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.7% (-0.01)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 58.18% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.82% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.17% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 76.83% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 6.85% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Canada 41.43%
Draw 30.4%
Tunisia 28.17%
Canada
1-0 @ 14.25% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 41.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 12.85% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 30.4%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.17%