Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.37% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood.