International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 8.30pm
Bank of America Stadium

USA vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 12.00am
USA 0 - 2 Portugal

Senegal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 8.00pm
Senegal 3 - 1 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for USA has a probability of 29.21% and a draw has a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest USA win is 2-1 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.49%).

Result

USA 29.21%
Draw 23.92%
Senegal 46.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.29% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 18.71% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 59.43% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 40.57% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.88% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.12% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 22.7% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 77.3% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

USA 21.45%
Draw 37.64%
Senegal 40.91%

Team To Score First

USA 37.72%
No Goal 5.04% (+0.01)
Senegal 57.24% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.26%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 38.2%
Over 9 39.16%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 49.74%
Over 10.5 29.32%
Under 10.5 70.68%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 34.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.22% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.78% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.75% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.25% (+0.02)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 78.42% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 21.58% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 50.19% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 49.81% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 24.87% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 75.13% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.18% (+0.03)

Score analysis

USA 29.2%
Draw 23.91%
Senegal 46.87%
USA
2-1 @ 6.94%
1-0 @ 5.97%
2-0 @ 4.15% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 2.05%
Other @ 4.35% (-0.02)
Total : 29.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.4% (-0.01)
Total : 23.91%
Senegal
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.42% (-0.01)
Total : 46.87%