World Cup Gameweek 3
New Zealand
Jun 27, 2026 4.00am
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT Vancouver Stadium
Belgium
  • Marko Stamenić 46' yellowcard
  • Elijah Just 56' yellowcard
  • Elijah Just 84' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 28'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 50'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne  66'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 86'
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 90'+4'

New Zealand vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Feature

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 22, 2026 2.00am
New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt

Belgium

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 8.00pm
Belgium 0 - 0 Iran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.45% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 12.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.26%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%) , while for a New Zealand win it was 1-0 (4.44%).

Result

New Zealand 12.15% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 19.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Belgium 68.4% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.5% ▲ (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 54.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 45.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 33.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 66.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 22.29% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 77.71% ▲ (+0.11)

New Zealand Goals

Over 1.5 14.56% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 85.44% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 3.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 96.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 0.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 86.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 13.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 61.33% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 38.67% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 35.58% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 64.42% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 17.37% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 82.63% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

New Zealand 12.15%
Draw 19.45%
Belgium 68.4%
New Zealand
1-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 12.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.45%
Belgium
0-1 @ 12.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 12.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 17.28% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 68.4%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Belgium
Oct 8, 2020 7.45pm
New Zealand

Form Data

New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt
Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand
England 1 - 0 New Zealand
Haiti 4 - 0 New Zealand
New Zealand 4 - 1 Chile
New Zealand 0 - 2 Finland
Belgium 0 - 0 Iran
Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt
Belgium 5 - 0 Tunisia
Croatia 0 - 2 Belgium
Mexico 1 - 1 Belgium
USA 2 - 5 Belgium

Build-up

How to watch
Predicted Lineups