World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 27, 2026 4.00am
Vancouver Stadium

New Zealand vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 22, 2026 2.00am
New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt

Belgium

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 8.00pm
Belgium 0 - 0 Iran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw has a probability of 19.15% and a win for New Zealand has a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.66%) , while for a New Zealand win it is 1-0 (4.35%).

Result

New Zealand 11.8% (-0.05)
Draw 19.15%
Belgium 69.05% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.35% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.16% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 22.84% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 54.7% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 45.3% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.6% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 66.4% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 22.87% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.13% (-0.03)

New Zealand Goals

Over 1.5 14.2% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 85.8% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 3.51% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.76%
Under 3.5 99.24%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 86.77% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 13.23% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 61.93% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 38.07% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 36.37%
Under 2.5 63.63%
Over 3.5 18.08% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 81.92% (-0.05)

Score analysis

New Zealand 11.81%
Draw 19.15%
Belgium 69.05%
New Zealand
1-0 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 11.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 19.15%
Belgium
0-2 @ 12.25% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 12.2% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.52% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 17.99% (+0.05)
Total : 69.05%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 8, 2020 7.45pm

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