World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 3.00am
Los Angeles Stadium

Turkey vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 4.00am
Turkey 0 - 1 Paraguay

USA

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 19, 2026 8.00pm
USA 2 - 0 Australia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Turkey win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for USA has a probability of 29.35% and a draw has a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest USA win is 1-2 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.45%).

Result

Turkey 48.3% (+0.10)
Draw 22.3% (-0.10)
USA 29.35% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.8% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 15.94% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 64.7% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 35.3% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 43.55% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 56.45% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 28.27% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 71.73% (-0.16)

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 53.57% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 46.43% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 28.72% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 71.28% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 12.88% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 87.12% (-0.09)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 66.47% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.53% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 37.43% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.57% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.68% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.32% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.4% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.6% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Turkey 48.3%
Draw 22.31%
USA 29.36%
Turkey
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.16% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.94%
Other @ 12.38% (+0.10)
Total : 48.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.31%
USA
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.9% (+0.04)
Total : 29.36%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jack McGlynn 1' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 85' yellowcard
  • goal Arda Guler 24'
  • goal Kerem Akturkoglu 27'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Akcicek 78'