World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 28
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Beşiktaş Park
  • Ferdi Kadıoğlu 53' goal
  • Orkun Kökçü 78' yellowcard
  • İrfan Can Kahveci 90' yellowcard
  • Ozan Kabak 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florin Tănase 66'
  • yellowcard Nicolae Stanciu 71'
  • yellowcard David Miculescu 87'
  • yellowcard Ștefan Baiaram 87'
  • yellowcard Ștefan Baiaram 88'
  • yellowcard David Miculescu 88'

Turkey vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Romania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Romania had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Romania win was 1-2 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Turkey 49.29% (-0.08)
Draw 24.11% (+0.04)
Romania 26.6% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2%
Under 1.5 22.8%
Over 2.5 54.79%
Under 2.5 45.21%
Over 3.5 33.47%
Under 3.5 66.53% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.22% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.78% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Turkey 32%
Draw 38.55%
Romania 29.44%

Team To Score First

Turkey 49.54% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.41% (+0.01)
Romania 44.05%

Corners

Over 8 57.95%
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 31.07%
Over 9 46.76%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 42.05%
Over 10.5 36.24%
Under 10.5 63.76%

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 48.5% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.5% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.48% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.92% (+0.02)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 61.39% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 38.61% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 30.88% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 69.12% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.55% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.71% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Turkey 49.29%
Draw 24.12%
Romania 26.6%
Turkey
1-0 @ 10.3% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 8.72% (-0.03)
Total : 49.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.36% (+0.02)
Total : 24.12%
Romania
1-2 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.1% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 26.6%