Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Romania had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Romania win was 1-2 (6.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.