World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 28
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
Beşiktaş Park

Turkey vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Romania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Turkey win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Romania has a probability of 26.53% and a draw has a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Romania win is 1-2 (6.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).

Result

Turkey 49.36% (-0.08)
Draw 24.08% (+0.04)
Romania 26.53% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.79%
Under 2.5 45.21%
Over 3.5 33.47% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.5%
Over 4.5 20.24% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 79.76% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Turkey 32%
Draw 38.55%
Romania 29.44%

Team To Score First

Turkey 49.55%
No Goal 6.4%
Romania 44.05%

Corners

Over 8 57.95%
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 31.07%
Over 9 46.76%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 42.05%
Over 10.5 36.24%
Under 10.5 63.76%

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 48.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.44% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.48% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.9% (+0.03)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 61.29% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.71% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.81% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 69.19% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.52% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.7%
Under 3.5 95.3%

Score analysis

Turkey 49.36%
Draw 24.08%
Romania 26.53%
Turkey
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 8.75% (-0.02)
Total : 49.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.08%
Romania
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 26.53%