World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 13, 2026 2.00am
Los Angeles Stadium

USA vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Paraguay

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Paraguay has a probability of 28.16% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Paraguay win is 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

USA 46.02% (-0.05)
Draw 25.8% (+0.11)
Paraguay 28.16% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.53% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.22% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 25.78% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 49.4% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 50.6% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 27.76% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 72.24% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 15.5% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 84.5% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

USA 35.3% (+0.03)
Draw 44.56% (-0.05)
Paraguay 20.14% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

USA 54% (-0.10)
No Goal 7.25% (+0.12)
Paraguay 38.75% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.87% (+0.10)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 33.13% (-0.10)
Over 9 42.91% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.03)
Under 9 45.13% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 32% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 68% (-0.07)

USA Goals

Over 1.5 43.64% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 56.36% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 19.48% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 80.52% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 6.97% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 93.03% (+0.13)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 63.03% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 36.97% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 29.34% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 70.66% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 10.13% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 89.87% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.83% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 97.17% (+0.08)

Score analysis

USA 46.01%
Draw 25.8%
Paraguay 28.16%
USA
1-0 @ 10.68% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.04)
Other @ 6.86% (-0.11)
Total : 46.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.25% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 25.8%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 7.82% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.72% (-0.07)
Total : 28.16%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 15, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2018 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Sahlen's Stadium at WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, North Carolina)
  • Bobby Wood 44' goal
  • Bobby Wood 45' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 62' yellowcard
  • Cameron Carter-Vickers 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Junior Fernandez Torres 43'
  • yellowcard Roberto Junior Fernandez Torres 44'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 53'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rojas 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Javier Santander Mereles 90'
World Cup
Jul 17, 1930 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Parque Central
  • Bert Patenaude 10' goal
  • Bert Patenaude 15' goal
  • Bert Patenaude 50' goal