Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.38% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.49%) , while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.