Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for USA had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest USA win was 2-1 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.