International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Soldier Field
  • Antonee Robinson 37' goal
  • Timothy Weah 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 2'
  • goal Leroy Sané 57'
  • yellowcard David Raum 69'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Beier 90'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 90'+2'

USA vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 8.30pm
USA 3 - 2 Senegal

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 7.45pm
Germany 4 - 0 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for USA had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest USA win was 2-1 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

USA 25.07% (-0.04)
Draw 22.56%
Germany 52.37% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.46% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.85% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 17.15% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 62.51% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 37.49% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 39.3% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 60.7% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 24.74% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 75.26% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

USA 23.04%
Draw 36.3%
Germany 40.66%

Team To Score First

USA 38.97%
No Goal 4.31% (+0.01)
Germany 56.72% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.91%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 32.7%
Over 9 44.49%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 44.09%
Over 10.5 33.94%
Under 10.5 66.06%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 32.24% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 67.76% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 12.45% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.55% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.85% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.15% (+0.03)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 82.43% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 17.57% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 55.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 44.61% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 29.58%
Under 2.5 70.42%
Over 3.5 12.92% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 87.08% (+0.04)

Score analysis

USA 25.07%
Draw 22.56%
Germany 52.38%
USA
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.52% (-0.03)
Total : 25.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.56%
Germany
1-2 @ 9.88% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.77% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.15% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.99%
Other @ 12.59% (-0.03)
Total : 52.38%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 14, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Christian Pulisic 27' goal
  • Yunus Musah 56' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 39'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 43'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 58'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 61'
International Friendlies
Jun 10, 2015 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mario Gotze 12' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Williams 22'
  • goal Mix Diskerud 41'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 70'
  • goal Bobby Wood 87'
World Cup
Jun 26, 2014 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Pernambuco, Recife
  • Omar Gonzalez 37' yellowcard
  • Kyle Beckerman 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benedikt Howedes 11'
  • goal Thomas Muller 55'
International Friendlies
Jun 2, 2013 7.30pm
4
3
HT : 3 3
FT
  • Jozy Altidore 0' goal
  • Marc-Andre ter Stegen 0' goal
  • Clint Dempsey 0' goal
  • goal Heiko Westermann 0'
  • goal Max Kruse 0'
  • goal Julian Draxler 0'