Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.62% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.56%) , while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.86%).