International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 11.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Kaku 17' goal
  • Miguel Almirón 42' goal
  • Matías Galarza Fonda 62' goal
  • Alexandro Maidana 65' goal
  • Alexandro Maidana 67' goal
  • yellowcard Joab Gutiérrez 15'
  • yellowcard Jacob Montes 56'

Paraguay vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.00pm
Morocco 2 - 1 Paraguay

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 29, 2026 5.00pm
South Africa 0 - 0 Nicaragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.62% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.56%) , while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.86%).

Result

Paraguay 59.75% (+0.10)
Draw 25.62% (-0.03)
Nicaragua 14.63% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.5% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.55% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 35.45% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 38.38% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 61.62% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 19.62% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 80.38% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 11.22% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.78% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Paraguay 38.15% (+0.04)
Draw 47.04% (-0.03)
Nicaragua 14.8% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Paraguay 58.23% (+0.02)
No Goal 11.56% (+0.03)
Nicaragua 30.21% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 45.42% (+0.06)
Equal 8 12.15% (+0.05)
Under 8 42.43% (-0.10)
Over 9 34.18% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.24% (+0.05)
Under 9 54.58% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 24.62% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 75.38% (+0.02)

Paraguay Goals

Over 1.5 46.8% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.2% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 21.22% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.05%
Under 3.5 91.95%

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 43.49% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 56.51% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 12.81% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 87.19% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 2.66% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 97.34% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 0.57% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 99.43% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Paraguay 59.76%
Draw 25.62%
Nicaragua 14.63%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 17.04% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.3% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 6.61% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.01% (+0.02)
Total : 59.76%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.56% (+0.03)
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 25.62%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53% (-0.02)
Total : 14.63%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 18, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Miguel Almiron 62' goal
  • Fabian Balbuena 78' goal