International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 11.15pm
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Paraguay vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.00pm
Morocco 2 - 1 Paraguay

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 29, 2026 5.00pm
South Africa 0 - 0 Nicaragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paraguay win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw has a probability of 25.68% and a win for Nicaragua has a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (11.58%) , while for a Nicaragua win it is 0-1 (6.84%).

Result

Paraguay 59.71% (+0.53)
Draw 25.68% (-0.06)
Nicaragua 14.64% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.49% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.57% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 35.43% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 38.34% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 61.66% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 19.5% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 80.5% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 11.13% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 88.87% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Paraguay 38.12% (+0.33)
Draw 47.08% (+0.80)
Nicaragua 14.81% (-1.12)

Team To Score First

Paraguay 58.26% (-0.42)
No Goal 11.58% (+0.26)
Nicaragua 30.16% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 45.64% (+1.11)
Equal 8 12.18% (+0.02)
Under 8 42.18% (-1.12)
Over 9 34.36% (+0.97)
Equal 9 11.28% (+0.13)
Under 9 54.36% (-1.11)
Over 10.5 24.74% (+0.76)
Under 10.5 75.26% (-0.76)

Paraguay Goals

Over 1.5 46.74% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 53.26% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 21.13% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 78.87% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 7.99% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.01% (-0.08)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 43.53% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 56.47% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 12.82% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 87.18% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 2.66% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 97.34% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 0.56% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 99.44% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Paraguay 59.7%
Draw 25.68%
Nicaragua 14.63%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 17.02% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 13.31% (+0.39)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.62% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.56% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.06)
Other @ 7.95% (+0.16)
Total : 59.7%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.58% (+0.26)
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.08)
Total : 25.68%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.23% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.52% (-0.06)
Total : 14.63%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 18, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Miguel Almiron 62' goal
  • Fabian Balbuena 78' goal