World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 19, 2026 8.00pm
Seattle Stadium

USA vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 2.00am
USA 4 - 1 Paraguay

Australia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 5.00am
Australia 1 - 0 Turkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Australia has a probability of 25.98% and a draw has a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Australia win is 1-2 (6.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.28%).

Result

USA 50.1%
Draw 23.95%
Australia 25.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.11%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.36%
Under 1.5 21.64%
Over 2.5 55.24%
Under 2.5 44.76%
Over 3.5 33.33%
Under 3.5 66.67%
Over 4.5 20.23%
Under 4.5 79.77%

First Half Winner

USA 39.93%
Draw 42.8%
Australia 17.27%

Team To Score First

USA 63.48%
No Goal 5.71%
Australia 30.81%

Corners

Over 8 56.2%
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 31.94%
Over 9 44.25%
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 43.8%
Over 10.5 33.24%
Under 10.5 66.76%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 49.55%
Under 1.5 50.45%
Over 2.5 24.59%
Under 2.5 75.41%
Over 3.5 10.08%
Under 3.5 89.92%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 61.88%
Under 0.5 38.12%
Over 1.5 29.92%
Under 1.5 70.08%
Over 2.5 11.03%
Under 2.5 88.97%
Over 3.5 3.64%
Under 3.5 96.36%

Score analysis

USA 50.11%
Draw 23.95%
Australia 25.98%
USA
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 9.89%
Total : 50.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 5.71%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.95%
Australia
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-1 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 25.98%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 15, 2025 2.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT