World Cup
Belgium
Jul 1, 2026 9.00pm
3
2
ET Seattle Stadium
Senegal
  • Brandon Mechele 64' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 86' goal
  • Youri Tielemans 89' goal
  • Rudi Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Rudi Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 120'+5' goal
  • goal Habib Diarra 25'
  • goal Ismaïla Sarr 51'
  • yellowcard Lamine Camara 67'

Belgium vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Senegal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Senegal win was 1-2 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Belgium 44.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 23.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Senegal 31.4% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.65% ▲ (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.69% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 19.31% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 58.8% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 2.5 41.2% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 3.5 36.5% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 3.5 63.5% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 4.5 21.75% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 4.5 78.25% ▼ (-0.52)

Belgium Goals

Over 1.5 47.82% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 52.18% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 2.5 22.91% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 77.09% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 8.95% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 91.05% ▼ (-0.22)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 68.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 31.94% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 36.58% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 63.42% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 15.01% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 84.99% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 5.07% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 94.93% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Belgium 44.8%
Draw 23.75%
Senegal 31.4%
Belgium
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 44.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.75%
Senegal
1-2 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 31.4%

Form Data

New Zealand 1 - 5 Belgium
Belgium 0 - 0 Iran
Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt
Belgium 5 - 0 Tunisia
Croatia 0 - 2 Belgium
Mexico 1 - 1 Belgium
Senegal 5 - 0 Iraq
Norway 3 - 2 Senegal
France 3 - 1 Senegal
Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Senegal
USA 3 - 2 Senegal
Senegal 3 - 1 Gambia

Build-up

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