/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsenlog.png)
-
Brandon Mechele
64'
-
Romelu Lukaku
86'
-
Youri Tielemans
89'
-
Rudi Garcia
90'
-
Rudi Garcia
90'
-
90'
-
Youri Tielemans
120'+5'
-
Habib Diarra
25'
-
Ismaïla Sarr
51'
-
Lamine Camara
67'
Belgium vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fimago1070825158-696dcf40543df177170222.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F06%2Ficonsport-369309-0014-1-6a42d3c9bbc67901408385.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Senegal win was 1-2 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result
Belgium
44.8%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
23.75%
▼
(-0.11)
Senegal
31.4%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
60.65%
▲
(+0.45)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.69%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
19.31%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 2.5
58.8%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 2.5
41.2%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
36.5%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 3.5
63.5%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 4.5
21.75%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 4.5
78.25%
▼
(-0.52)
Belgium Goals
Over 1.5
47.82%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
52.18%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 2.5
22.91%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 2.5
77.09%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
8.95%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
91.05%
▼
(-0.22)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5
68.06%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
31.94%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
36.58%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
63.42%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 2.5
15.01%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 2.5
84.99%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 3.5
5.07%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
94.93%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Belgium
44.8%
Draw
23.75%
Senegal
31.4%
Belgium
2-1
@
9.11%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 44.8%
1-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 44.8%
Draw
1-1
@
10.81%
▼
(-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.75%
2-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.75%
Senegal
1-2
@
7.42%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 31.4%
0-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 31.4%
Build-up
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F06%2Fimago1078763832-6a3a0c967fe9c396325660.jpg)
How to watch
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F06%2Fleandro-trossard-celebrates-after-scoring-vs-new-zealand-in-june-2026-zuma-icon-sport-6a43c5f7dcac2454272662.jpg){kind=icon}
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F06%2Fsenegal-forwards-ismaila-sarr-and-sadio-mane-celebrate-a-goal-on-june-22-2026spp-6a3bed52c3b03750914924.jpg)