World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Toronto Stadium
  • Habib Diarra 4' goal
  • Abdoulaye Seck 17' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Seck 18' yellowcard
  • Ismaïla Sarr 56' goal
  • Pape Gueye 59' goal
  • Pape Gueye 71' goal
  • Pape Gueye 81' yellowcard
  • Iliman Ndiaye 82' goal
  • yellowcard Rebin Sulaka 10'
  • redcard Rebin Sulaka 12'
  • redcard Rebin Sulaka 13'
  • yellowcard Amir Al-Ammari 75'
  • yellowcard Amir Al-Ammari 76'
  • yellowcard Merchas Doski 90'

Senegal vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 23, 2026 1.00am
Norway 3 - 2 Senegal

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 22, 2026 10.00pm
France 3 - 0 Iraq

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (5.42%).

Result

Senegal 64.3% (+0.15)
Draw 21.5%
Iraq 14.25% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.6% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.91% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.09% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 49.05%
Under 2.5 50.95%
Over 3.5 27.25%
Under 3.5 72.75%
Over 4.5 16.76% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 83.24% (-0.05)

Senegal Goals

Over 1.5 55.87% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 44.13% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 29.21% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 70.79% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 12.42% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 87.58% (-0.08)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 46.24% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 53.76% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 15.24% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 84.76% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 3.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 96.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 0.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Senegal 64.32%
Draw 21.5%
Iraq 14.25%
Senegal
1-0 @ 13.51% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.71% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.01% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.37% (+0.07)
Total : 64.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 21.5%
Iraq
0-1 @ 5.42%
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 0.65% (-0.02)
Total : 14.25%

Build-up

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