World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 8.00pm
Toronto Stadium

Senegal vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 23, 2026 1.00am
Norway 3 - 2 Senegal

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 22, 2026 10.00pm
France 3 - 0 Iraq

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw has a probability of 21.55% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%) , while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (5.43%).

Result

Senegal 64.15% (-0.95)
Draw 21.55% (+0.25)
Iraq 14.3% (+0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.75% (+1.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.91% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 26.09% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 49.1% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 50.9% (-0.81)
Over 3.5 27.3% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 72.7% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 16.76% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 83.24% (-0.36)

Senegal Goals

Over 1.5 55.82% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 44.18% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 29.17% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 70.83% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 12.39% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 87.61% (+0.05)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 46.39% (+1.62)
Under 0.5 53.61% (-1.62)
Over 1.5 15.34% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 84.66% (-1.14)
Over 2.5 3.65% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 96.35% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 0.71% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 99.29% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Senegal 64.15%
Draw 21.55%
Iraq 14.3%
Senegal
1-0 @ 13.45% (-0.47)
2-0 @ 12.65% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 9.51% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 7.97% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 5.99% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.15)
Other @ 12.33% (-0.07)
Total : 64.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 3.59% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 21.55%
Iraq
0-1 @ 5.43% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 3.81% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 2.04% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.65% (+0.10)
Total : 14.3%