Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (5.42%).