World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 23, 2026 1.00am
New York New Jersey Stadium

Norway vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 11.00pm
Iraq 1 - 4 Norway

Senegal

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 8.00pm
France 3 - 1 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norway win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Senegal has a probability of 33.8% and a draw has a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Senegal win is 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.24%).

Result

Norway 41.6% (-0.05)
Draw 24.55% (+0.06)
Senegal 33.8% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.8% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.66% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 21.34% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 56.05% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 43.95% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 34.1% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.9% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 19.97% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 80.03% (+0.16)

Norway Goals

Over 1.5 43.77% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 56.23% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 19.78% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 80.22% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 7.31% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 92.69% (+0.07)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 69.2% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 30.8% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 37.42% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 62.58% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 15.61% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 84.39% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.41% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.59% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Norway 41.58%
Draw 24.55%
Senegal 33.81%
Norway
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.42% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.06% (-0.08)
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.54% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 24.55%
Senegal
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 7.32% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.16% (-0.05)
Total : 33.81%