Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.55% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%) , while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.