International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Ecuador

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 5.00pm
Serbia 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw has a probability of 28.15% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.71%) , while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 0-1 (9.73%).

Result

Ecuador 47.5%
Draw 28.15%
Saudi Arabia 24.35% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.7% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.81% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 36.19% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 36.95% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 63.05% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 17.5% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 82.5% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 8.68% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 91.32% (+0.04)

Ecuador Goals

Over 1.5 37.5% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.5% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.6% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.4% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.52% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.48% (+0.02)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5 54.67% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.33% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.21% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 79.79% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 5.45% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.55% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.17% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.83% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Ecuador 47.5%
Draw 28.15%
Saudi Arabia 24.36%
Ecuador
1-0 @ 15.06% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.96% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 28.15%
Saudi Arabia
0-1 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.14% (-0.03)
Total : 24.36%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 23, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT