Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw has a probability of 28.15% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.71%) , while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 0-1 (9.73%).