International Friendlies
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-
José Andrés Hurtado
18'
-
Jackson Porozo
35'
-
Anthony Valencia
51'
-
Sultan Mandash
87'
-
Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami
90'+1'
Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.05% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result
Ecuador
47.6%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
28.05%
▼
(-0.10)
Saudi Arabia
24.3%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
41.95%
▲
(+0.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
64.08%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
35.92%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 2.5
37.25%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
62.75%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
17.75%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
82.25%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 4.5
8.84%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
91.16%
▼
(-0.16)
Ecuador Goals
Over 1.5
37.76%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
62.24%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 2.5
14.8%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 2.5
85.2%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
4.61%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
95.39%
▼
(-0.10)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5
54.74%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
45.26%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
20.31%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
79.69%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
5.5%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
94.5%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
1.19%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
98.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Ecuador
47.61%
Draw
28.04%
Saudi Arabia
24.3%
Ecuador
1-0
@
14.95%
▼
(-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 47.61%
2-0 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 47.61%
Draw
1-1
@
12.69%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 28.04%
0-0 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 28.04%
Saudi Arabia
0-1
@
9.63%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.3%
Head to Head
International Friendlies