Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw has a probability of 24.48% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 10.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.12%) , while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (5.79%).