International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Philips Stadion

Netherlands vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 2 - 1 Norway

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 8.15pm
Morocco 1 - 1 Ecuador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw has a probability of 24.48% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.12%) , while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (5.79%).

Result

Netherlands 64.83% (-0.16)
Draw 24.48% (+0.08)
Ecuador 10.69% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.37% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.41% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 35.59% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 40.67% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 59.3% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 23.43%
Under 3.5 76.57% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.52% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.48% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Netherlands 49.1% (+0.04)
Draw 36.62% (-0.02)
Ecuador 14.28% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Netherlands 62.24% (+0.03)
No Goal 13.12% (+0.05)
Ecuador 24.64% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 48.48% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.35% (-0.13)
Under 8 40.18% (+0.15)
Over 9 37.7% (+0.10)
Equal 9 10.77% (-0.13)
Under 9 51.52% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 28.25% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 71.75% (-0.19)

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 50.97% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 49.03% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 28.02% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 71.98% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 14.12% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.88% (+0.04)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 35.25% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 64.75% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 8.91% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 91.09% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 1.44% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 98.56% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.73% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Netherlands 64.85%
Draw 24.5%
Ecuador 10.69%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 16.72% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 13.13% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 14.11% (-0.05)
Total : 64.85%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.12% (+0.05)
1-1 @ 8.87% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.5%
Ecuador
0-1 @ 5.79% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 2.07%
0-2 @ 1.71% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 10.69%

Head to Head

World Cup
Nov 25, 2022 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cody Gakpo 6' goal
  • goal Enner Valencia 49'
International Friendlies
May 17, 2014 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Robin van Persie 37' goal
  • goal Jefferson Montero 9'
  • yellowcard Antonio Valencia 16'