International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Willian Pacho 3' goal
  • Lutsharel Geertruida 17' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 46' yellowcard
  • Micky van de Ven 46' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 59' yellowcard
  • Teun Koopmeiners 76' yellowcard
  • Jorrel Hato 77' yellowcard
  • Luciano Valente 77' yellowcard
  • Wout Weghorst 77' yellowcard
  • Teun Koopmeiners 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enner Valencia 24'
  • yellowcard Anthony Valencia 46'
  • yellowcard David Cabezas 59'
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 74'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Arévalo 89'
  • yellowcard Jordy Alcívar 89'
  • yellowcard Jordy Caicedo 89'

Netherlands vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 2 - 1 Norway

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 8.15pm
Morocco 1 - 1 Ecuador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.45% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 3-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.12%) , while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Netherlands 64.96% (+0.10)
Draw 24.45% (-0.04)
Ecuador 10.59% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.3% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.4% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 35.6% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 40.67% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.33% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.42% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 76.57%
Over 4.5 16.53% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.47% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Netherlands 49.1%
Draw 36.62%
Ecuador 14.28%

Team To Score First

Netherlands 62.24% (-0.01)
No Goal 13.12% (+0.02)
Ecuador 24.64% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.16%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 40.5%
Over 9 37.42%
Equal 9 10.74%
Under 9 51.84%
Over 10.5 28.02%
Under 10.5 71.98%

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 51.04% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.96% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 28.05% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 71.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 14.13% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 85.87% (-0.02)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 35.1% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 64.9% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 8.85% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 91.15% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 1.43% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 98.57% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 0.27%
Under 3.5 99.73%

Score analysis

Netherlands 64.96%
Draw 24.46%
Ecuador 10.59%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 16.75% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 13.19% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.73% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 14.12% (+0.02)
Total : 64.96%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.12% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.46%
Ecuador
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.05% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 10.59%

Head to Head

World Cup
Nov 25, 2022 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cody Gakpo 6' goal
  • goal Enner Valencia 49'
International Friendlies
May 17, 2014 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Robin van Persie 37' goal
  • goal Jefferson Montero 9'
  • yellowcard Antonio Valencia 16'