Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.86% and a win for Norway had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%) , while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.