World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 16, 2026 8.00pm
New York New Jersey Stadium

France vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Senegal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Senegal has a probability of 24.25% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Senegal win is 1-2 (6.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).

Result

France 52.55% (-0.25)
Draw 23.2% (+0.20)
Senegal 24.25% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.4% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.85% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 21.15% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 55.9% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 44.1% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 33.6% (-0.95)
Under 3.5 66.4% (+0.96)
Over 4.5 19.96% (-0.77)
Under 4.5 80.04% (+0.78)

France Goals

Over 1.5 51.97% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 48.03% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 26.16% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 73.84% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 10.74% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 89.26% (+0.50)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 60.81% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 39.19% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 28.28% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 71.72% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 9.78% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 90.22% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 2.77% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.23% (+0.11)

Score analysis

France 52.55%
Draw 23.2%
Senegal 24.25%
France
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.58% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.09)
Other @ 10.57% (-0.49)
Total : 52.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 23.2%
Senegal
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6% (-0.09)
Total : 24.25%