Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.67% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 7.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.01%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.19%) , while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.