International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2026 8.10pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

France vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 8.10pm
France 1 - 2 Ivory Coast

Northern Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 5.00pm
N. Ireland 1 - 0 Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 75.32%. A draw has a probability of 17.62% and a win for Northern Ireland has a probability of 7.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.99%) and 3-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (8.16%) , while for a Northern Ireland win it is 0-1 (3.18%).

Result

France 75.32% (-0.71)
Draw 17.62% (+0.36)
Northern Ireland 7.06% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.74% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.24% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 27.76% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 48.59% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 51.41% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 29.1% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 70.9% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 21% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 79% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

France 55.9% (-0.64)
Draw 34.89% (+0.37)
Northern Ireland 9.21% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

France 74.74% (-0.39)
No Goal 8.16% (+0.08)
Northern Ireland 17.1% (+0.32)

Corners

Over 8 55.74% (-0.29)
Equal 8 10.92% (+0.06)
Under 8 33.33% (+0.23)
Over 9 44.78% (-0.32)
Equal 9 10.96% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.26% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 34.62% (-0.31)
Under 10.5 65.38% (+0.30)

France Goals

Over 1.5 62.13% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 37.87% (+0.53)
Over 2.5 36.08% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 63.92% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 17.78% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 82.22% (+0.57)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 31.21% (+0.72)
Under 0.5 68.79% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 8.44% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 91.56% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 1.9% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 98.1% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 0.49% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 99.51% (-0.07)

Score analysis

France 75.32%
Draw 17.62%
Northern Ireland 7.07%
France
1-0 @ 16.43% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 15.99% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 10.55% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.32% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.05)
Other @ 17.67% (-0.60)
Total : 75.32%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.16% (+0.08)
1-1 @ 6.79% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.17% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.04)
Total : 17.62%
Northern Ireland
0-1 @ 3.18% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 1.62% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.38% (+0.04)
Total : 7.07%