International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2026 8.10pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Michael Olise 43' goal
  • Michael Olise 49' goal
  • Michael Olise 74' goal
  • goal Patrick Kelly 64'

France vs Northern Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 8.10pm
France 1 - 2 Ivory Coast

Northern Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 5.00pm
N. Ireland 1 - 0 Guinea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.67% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 7.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.01%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.19%) , while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

France 75.25% (+0.16)
Draw 17.67% (-0.05)
Northern Ireland 7.09% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.73% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.14% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 27.86% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 48.42% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 51.58% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 28.96% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 71.04% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 20.86% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 79.14% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

France 55.79% (-0.03)
Draw 34.93% (-0.01)
Northern Ireland 9.28% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

France 74.52% (-0.07)
No Goal 8.19% (-0.03)
Northern Ireland 17.29% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.73% (-0.33)
Equal 8 10.94% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.33% (+0.31)
Over 9 44.75% (-0.30)
Equal 9 10.98% (-0.02)
Under 9 44.27% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 34.58% (-0.27)
Under 10.5 65.42% (+0.27)

France Goals

Over 1.5 62.02% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 37.98% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 35.92% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 64.08% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 17.62% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 82.38% (-0.15)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 31.3% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 68.7% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 8.43%
Under 1.5 91.57%
Over 2.5 1.9% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 98.1% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 0.48% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.52% (-0.03)

Score analysis

France 75.25%
Draw 17.67%
Northern Ireland 7.1%
France
1-0 @ 16.47% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 16.01% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 10.53% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.89% (+0.03)
Other @ 17.52% (+0.13)
Total : 75.25%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.03)
1-1 @ 6.82% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 17.67%
Northern Ireland
0-1 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.59% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.38% (+0.02)
Total : 7.1%