Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 72.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.11% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.78%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%) , while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.