World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 28
Wales
Mar 26, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
ET Cardiff City Stadium
Bosnia H'vina
  • Daniel James 51' goal
  • Liam Cullen 56' yellowcard
  • Mark Harris 74' yellowcard
  • Sorba Thomas 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Basic 62'
  • yellowcard 62'
  • yellowcard Kerim Alajbegovic 62'
  • yellowcard Dzenis Burnic 74'
  • yellowcard Haris Tabakovic 78'
  • goal Edin Džeko 86'
  • yellowcard Amir Hadziahmetovic 91'
  • yellowcard Armin Gigovic 112'

Wales vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.59% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Wales 62.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 20.59%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 16.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.38% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 59.66%
Under 2.5 40.34%
Over 3.5 37.87%
Under 3.5 62.13%
Over 4.5 25.15%
Under 4.5 74.85%

First Half Winner

Wales 45.71%
Draw 35.63%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 18.65%

Team To Score First

Wales 64.71%
No Goal 5.3%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 29.99%

Corners

Over 8 53.38%
Equal 8 11.24%
Under 8 35.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 42.3%
Equal 9 11.08%
Under 9 46.62%
Over 10.5 32.22%
Under 10.5 67.78%

Wales Goals

Over 1.5 60.61%
Under 1.5 39.39%
Over 2.5 35.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 64.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 17.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 82.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5 51.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 48.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 21.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.92%
Under 3.5 98.08%

Score analysis

Wales 62.69%
Draw 20.59%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 16.72%
Wales
1-0 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.52%
3-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 17.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 62.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14%
0-0 @ 5.3%
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.59%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.53%
0-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47%
1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 16.72%

Head to Head

European Championship
Bosnia H'vina
Oct 10, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Wales
  • Emir Spahic 42' yellowcard
  • Milan Djuric 71' goal
  • Asmir Begovic 85' yellowcard
  • Toni Sunjic 85' yellowcard
  • Vedad Ibisevic 90' goal
  • yellowcard Neil Taylor 84'
European Championship
Wales
Oct 10, 2014 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bosnia H'vina
  • Neil Taylor 57' yellowcard
  • James Chester 70' yellowcard
  • Ashley Williams 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anel Hadzic 16'
  • yellowcard Miralem Pjanic 34'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 72'

Form Data

Wales 7 - 1 N. Macedonia
Wales 0 - 0 N. Macedonia
Liechtenstein 0 - 0 Wales
Liechtenstein 0 - 1 Wales
Wales 2 - 4 Belgium
Wales 0 - 0 Belgium
Austria 1 - 1 Bosnia H'vina
Austria 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina
Bosnia H'vina 0 - 0 Romania
Bosnia H'vina 3 - 1 Romania
Malta 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina
Cyprus 2 - 2 Bosnia H'vina

Build-up

News
How to watch
Head to head