World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 28
Mar 26, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Wales vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wales win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw has a probability of 20.62% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina has a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.17%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it is 0-1 (4.6%).

Result

Wales 62.49% (-0.36)
Draw 20.62% (+0.30)
Bosnia-Herzegovina 16.85% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.41% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.4% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 19.6% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 59.66% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 40.34% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 37.87% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 62.13% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 25.14% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 74.86% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Wales 45.71% (-0.41)
Draw 35.63% (+0.24)
Bosnia-Herzegovina 18.65% (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Wales 64.71% (+0.09)
No Goal 5.3% (+0.23)
Bosnia-Herzegovina 29.99% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 53.38% (+1.39)
Equal 8 11.24% (-0.13)
Under 8 35.38% (-1.24)
Over 9 42.3% (+1.38)
Equal 9 11.08% (-0.01)
Under 9 46.62% (-1.39)
Over 10.5 32.22% (+1.28)
Under 10.5 67.78% (-1.29)

Wales Goals

Over 1.5 60.47% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 39.53% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 35.2% (-0.55)
Under 2.5 64.8% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 17.41% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 82.59% (+0.39)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5 51.7% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 48.3% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 21.79% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 78.21% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 6.91% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.09% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.94%
Under 3.5 98.06%

Score analysis

Wales 62.49%
Draw 20.63%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 16.84%
Wales
1-0 @ 9.66% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.4% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.07)
Other @ 17.17% (-0.41)
Total : 62.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.17% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.3% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.24% (+0.03)
Total : 20.63%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0-1 @ 4.6% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.7% (-0.04)
Total : 16.84%

Head to Head

European Championship
Oct 10, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emir Spahic 42' yellowcard
  • Milan Djuric 71' goal
  • Asmir Begovic 85' yellowcard
  • Toni Sunjic 85' yellowcard
  • Vedad Ibisevic 90' goal
  • yellowcard Neil Taylor 84'
European Championship
Oct 10, 2014 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Neil Taylor 57' yellowcard
  • James Chester 70' yellowcard
  • Ashley Williams 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anel Hadzic 16'
  • yellowcard Miralem Pjanic 34'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 72'

Build-up

Head to head