International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Tom Atcheson 9' goal
  • Jamie Carson McDonnell 58' yellowcard
  • Tom Atcheson 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Lass Kourouma 76'

Northern Ireland vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Wales 1 - 1 N. Ireland

Guinea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Northern Ireland 31.35% (-0.15)
Draw 27.5%
Guinea 41.15% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.95% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.19% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 30.81% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 43.75% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 56.25% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 23.25% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 76.75% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 12.26% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.74% (+0.10)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 1.5 29.32% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 70.68% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 10.23% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 89.77% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 2.93% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.07% (+0.06)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 70.83% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 29.17% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.82% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.18% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.53% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.64% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.36% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Northern Ireland 31.35%
Draw 27.5%
Guinea 41.15%
Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.84% (-0.06)
Total : 31.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 27.5%
Guinea
0-1 @ 11.76% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.26% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.53% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.27% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 41.15%