International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 5.00pm
Windsor Park

Northern Ireland vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Wales 1 - 1 N. Ireland

Guinea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guinea win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Northern Ireland has a probability of 31.2% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win is 1-0 (9.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).

Result

Northern Ireland 31.2%
Draw 27.6% (+0.11)
Guinea 41.2% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.5% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.81% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 31.19% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 43.3% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 56.7% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 22.9% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 77.1% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 12.01% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 87.99% (+0.38)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 1.5 28.96% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 71.04% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 10.04% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 89.96% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 2.86% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.14% (+0.13)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 70.72% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 29.28% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 36.6% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 63.4% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 14.36% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 85.64% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 4.56% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 95.44% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Northern Ireland 31.19%
Draw 27.61%
Guinea 41.2%
Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 9.83% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.77% (-0.11)
Total : 31.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 9.45% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.03)
Total : 27.61%
Guinea
0-1 @ 11.91% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.59% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.47% (-0.13)
Total : 41.2%