Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.