/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fguilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
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38'
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Serhou Guirassy
38'
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Steve Mounié
33'
Guinea vs Benin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Benin had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result
Guinea
47.35%
▲
(+0.25)
Draw
25.95%
▼
(-0.20)
Benin
26.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
49.95%
▲
(+0.56)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.47%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 1.5
28.53%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 2.5
47%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 2.5
53%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 3.5
26.35%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 3.5
73.65%
▼
(-0.85)
Over 4.5
14.88%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 4.5
85.12%
▼
(-0.69)
Guinea Goals
Over 1.5
42.89%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 1.5
57.11%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 2.5
18.75%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 2.5
81.25%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 3.5
6.66%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 3.5
93.34%
▼
(-0.30)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5
59.63%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
40.37%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
27.17%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 1.5
72.83%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 2.5
9.85%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 2.5
90.15%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 3.5
3.06%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
96.94%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Guinea
47.34%
Draw
25.94%
Benin
26.7%
Guinea
1-0
@
12.21%
▼
(-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 47.34%
2-0 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 47.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.6%
▼
(-0.21)
0-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.94%
0-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.94%
Benin
0-1
@
7.84%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 26.7%
1-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 26.7%