Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (9.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.