/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Firqlog.png)
-
Ferran Torres
16'
-
Marc Bernal
32'
-
Gavi
37'
-
Merchas Doski
27'
-
Zaid Ismail
57'
-
Rebin Sulaka
80'
Spain vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fluis-de-la-fuente.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F09%2Fimago1066031881-68ba852b14b43016288073.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 70.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.55%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.19%) , while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result
Spain
70.4%
▼
(-1.06)
Draw
20.8%
▲
(+0.47)
Iraq
8.78%
▲
(+0.60)
Both Teams to Score:
34.71%
▲
(+0.39)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.7%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
30.3%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
44.22%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
55.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
24.08%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 3.5
75.92%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 4.5
16.21%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 4.5
83.79%
▲
(+0.45)
First Half Winner
Spain
50.17%
▼
(-1.11)
Draw
38.23%
▲
(+0.59)
Iraq
11.6%
▲
(+0.53)
Team To Score First
Spain
69.82%
▼
(-1.43)
No Goal
9.19%
▲
(+0.10)
Iraq
20.99%
▲
(+1.32)
Corners
Over 8
54.51%
▼
(-0.31)
Equal 8
10.95%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 8
34.54%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 9
43.62%
▼
(-0.18)
Equal 9
10.89%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 9
45.49%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 10.5
33.61%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 10.5
66.39%
▲
(+0.08)
Spain Goals
Over 1.5
56.9%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 1.5
43.1%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 2.5
30.05%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 2.5
69.95%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 3.5
13.08%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 3.5
86.92%
▲
(+0.58)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5
35.77%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 0.5
64.23%
▼
(-1.07)
Over 1.5
9.45%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 1.5
90.55%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 2.5
1.67%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
98.33%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
0.35%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
99.65%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Spain
70.4%
Draw
20.8%
Iraq
8.78%
Spain
1-0
@
16.85%
▼
(-0.14)
2-0 @ 15.55% ▼ (-0.34)
3-0 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 13.02% ▼ (-0.60)
Total : 70.4%
2-0 @ 15.55% ▼ (-0.34)
3-0 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 13.02% ▼ (-0.60)
Total : 70.4%
Draw
0-0
@
9.19%
▲
(+0.10)
1-1 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.8%
1-1 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.8%
Iraq
0-1
@
4.24%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 8.78%
1-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 8.78%