International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Abanca-Riazor

Spain vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 8.00pm
Spain 0 - 0 Egypt

Iraq

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw has a probability of 20.65% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.25%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.08%) , while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (4.37%).

Result

Spain 70.22% (-1.00)
Draw 20.65% (+0.36)
Iraq 9.11% (+0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.91% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.13% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.23% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.77% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.16% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.84% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.9% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 83.1% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Spain 50.62% (-0.79)
Draw 37.89% (+0.25)
Iraq 11.49% (+0.56)

Team To Score First

Spain 70.97% (-1.55)
No Goal 8.74% (+0.09)
Iraq 20.29% (+1.47)

Corners

Over 8 56.23% (-0.47)
Equal 8 11.49% (-0.17)
Under 8 32.28% (+0.64)
Over 9 44.7% (-0.26)
Equal 9 11.53% (-0.21)
Under 9 43.77% (+0.47)
Over 10.5 34.06% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 65.94% (+0.07)

Spain Goals

Over 1.5 57.56% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 42.44% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 30.87% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 69.13% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 13.54% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 86.46% (+0.35)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 36.95% (+0.92)
Under 0.5 63.05% (-0.92)
Over 1.5 9.74% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 90.26% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 1.7% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 98.3% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 0.39% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 99.61% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Spain 70.22%
Draw 20.65%
Iraq 9.12%
Spain
1-0 @ 16.01% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 15.25% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 9.53% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 13.51% (-0.38)
Total : 70.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 8.74% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.48% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 20.65%
Iraq
0-1 @ 4.37% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 2.1% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 1.3% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.08)
Total : 9.12%