Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw has a probability of 20.65% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.25%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.08%) , while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (4.37%).