World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 22, 2026 10.00pm
Philadelphia Stadium

France vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 8.00pm
France 3 - 1 Senegal

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 11.00pm
Iraq 1 - 4 Norway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 73.45%. A draw has a probability of 18.4% and a win for Iraq has a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.56%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (8.04%) , while for a Iraq win it is 0-1 (3.82%).

Result

France 73.45%
Draw 18.4%
Iraq 8.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

36.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.54%
Under 1.5 27.46%
Over 2.5 48.25%
Under 2.5 51.75%
Over 3.5 27.35%
Under 3.5 72.65%
Over 4.5 19.01%
Under 4.5 80.99%

France Goals

Over 1.5 60.91%
Under 1.5 39.09%
Over 2.5 34.6%
Under 2.5 65.4%
Over 3.5 16.33%
Under 3.5 83.67%

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 33.93%
Under 0.5 66.07%
Over 1.5 8.6%
Under 1.5 91.4%
Over 2.5 1.63%
Under 2.5 98.37%
Over 3.5 0.27%
Under 3.5 99.73%

Score analysis

France 73.46%
Draw 18.41%
Iraq 8.14%
France
1-0 @ 15.61%
2-0 @ 15.56%
3-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 16.3%
Total : 73.46%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.04%
1-1 @ 7.75%
2-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 18.41%
Iraq
0-1 @ 3.82%
1-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 8.14%