World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 12.00am
Kansas City Stadium

Tunisia vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 5.00am
Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan

Netherlands

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 6.00pm
Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw has a probability of 22.15% and a win for Tunisia has a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Tunisia win it is 1-0 (5.66%).

Result

Tunisia 15.85%
Draw 22.15% (-0.11)
Netherlands 62.05% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

47% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.39% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 25.61% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 50.1% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 49.9% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 28.45% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 71.5% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 17.43% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 82.57% (-0.27)

Tunisia Goals

Over 1.5 17.37% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 82.63% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 4.53% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 95.47% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 0.98% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 99.02% (-0.04)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 83.45% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 16.55% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 54.99% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 45.01% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 28.7% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 71.3% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 12.29% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 87.71% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Tunisia 15.85%
Draw 22.15%
Netherlands 62.04%
Tunisia
1-0 @ 5.66% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 4.19% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.89% (+0.02)
Total : 15.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 3.92% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.02)
Total : 22.15%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 12.84% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 11.74% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.55% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 7.28% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.96% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 12.2% (+0.18)
Total : 62.04%