World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 26, 2026 12.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Kansas City Stadium
  • Hazem Mastouri 54' goal
  • goal Ellyes Skhiri 3' (OG)
  • goal Brian Brobbey 7'
  • goal Jan Paul van Hecke 62'

Tunisia vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 21, 2026 5.00am
Tunisia 0 - 4 Japan

Netherlands

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 20, 2026 6.00pm
Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.8%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%) , while for a Tunisia win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Tunisia 15.85% (+0.10)
Draw 22.3% (+0.06)
Netherlands 61.85% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.55% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 26.16% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 49.45% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 50.55% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 27.95% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 72.05% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 17.07% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 82.93% (+0.14)

Tunisia Goals

Over 1.5 17.14% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 82.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.42% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.58% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.95% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.05% (-0.02)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 83.14% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 16.86% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 54.47% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 45.53% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 28.26% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 71.74% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 12.03% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 87.97% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Tunisia 15.84%
Draw 22.3%
Netherlands 61.84%
Tunisia
1-0 @ 5.75% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 4.16% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.87% (+0.02)
Total : 15.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.34% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 22.3%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 13.05% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 11.8% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.23% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.95% (-0.14)
Total : 61.84%

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