Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.