Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.