World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 20, 2026 6.00pm
Houston Stadium

Netherlands vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 9.00pm
Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan

Sweden

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 15, 2026 3.00am
Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Sweden has a probability of 25.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Sweden win is 0-1 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.97%).

Result

Netherlands 51.05%
Draw 23.65%
Sweden 25.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.39%
Under 1.5 21.61%
Over 2.5 55.4%
Under 2.5 44.6%
Over 3.5 33.3%
Under 3.5 66.7%
Over 4.5 19.7%
Under 4.5 80.3%

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 50.65%
Under 1.5 49.35%
Over 2.5 24.97%
Under 2.5 75.03%
Over 3.5 10.05%
Under 3.5 89.95%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 61.69%
Under 0.5 38.31%
Over 1.5 29.27%
Under 1.5 70.73%
Over 2.5 10.48%
Under 2.5 89.52%
Over 3.5 3.12%
Under 3.5 96.88%

Score analysis

Netherlands 51.06%
Draw 23.65%
Sweden 25.3%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 3.25%
Other @ 9.85%
Total : 51.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 5.62%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.65%
Sweden
0-1 @ 6.34%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Arjen Robben 16' goal
  • Arjen Robben 40' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 6, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Berg 43' goal
  • goal Wesley Sneijder 67'