International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 6.00pm
Strawberry Arena

Sweden vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 1, 2026 6.00pm
Norway 3 - 1 Sweden

Greece

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.00pm
Hungary 0 - 0 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Greece has a probability of 32.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Greece win is 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result

Sweden 41.22% (+0.16)
Draw 25.83% (+0.20)
Greece 32.96% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.98% (-0.84)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.77% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 22.23% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 54.64% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 45.36% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 32.52% (-0.76)
Under 3.5 67.48% (+0.77)
Over 4.5 18.69% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 81.31% (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Sweden 37.15% (+0.02)
Draw 41.12% (+0.01)
Greece 21.73% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Sweden 52.75% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.15% (+0.21)
Greece 41.1% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 61.89% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.92%
Under 8 27.19% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.39% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 38.11% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 39.29% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 60.71% (-0.02)

Sweden Goals

Over 1.5 43.14% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 56.86% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 19.19% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 80.81% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 7.04% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.96% (+0.15)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 31.08% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 36.43% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 63.57% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 14.58% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 85.42% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 4.72% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 95.28% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Sweden 41.22%
Draw 25.82%
Greece 32.95%
Sweden
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.6% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.3% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.28% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.74% (-0.13)
Total : 41.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.15% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 25.82%
Greece
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.47% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.42% (-0.25)
Total : 32.95%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 59' goal
  • Albin Ekdal 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 69' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Mavropanos 58'
  • yellowcard Anastasios Bakasetas 61'
  • yellowcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 76'
  • redcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 86'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 8, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 8' yellowcard
  • Andreas Bouchalakis 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Anastasios Bakasetas 62' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 78' goal
  • yellowcard Viktor Claesson 53'
  • yellowcard Filip Helander 70'
  • goal Robin Quaison 80'
  • yellowcard Isaac Kiese Thelin 89'