International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Strawberry Arena
  • Viktor Gyökeres 53' goal
  • Gustaf Nilsson 69' goal
  • goal Konstantinos Tsimikas 10'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Retsos 19'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Koulierakis 73'
  • goal Georgios Masouras 90'+5'

Sweden vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 1, 2026 6.00pm
Norway 3 - 1 Sweden

Greece

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.00pm
Hungary 0 - 0 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Greece had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Greece win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Sweden 41.22% (-0.07)
Draw 25.71% (+0.02)
Greece 33.1% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.21% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.81% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 22.19% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 54.67% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 45.33% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 32.44% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 67.56% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 18.64% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 81.36% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Sweden 35.42% (-0.05)
Draw 42.32% (+0.11)
Greece 22.26% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Sweden 53.2% (-0.11)
No Goal 6.13% (+0.01)
Greece 40.67% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 61.09% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.75% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.16% (+0.04)
Over 9 49.86% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.23% (-0.02)
Under 9 38.91% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 39.05%
Under 10.5 60.95%

Sweden Goals

Over 1.5 42.95% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 57.05% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 19.08% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 80.92% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.97% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.03% (+0.07)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 69.06% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.94% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 36.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.51% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.63% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sweden 41.21%
Draw 25.71%
Greece 33.1%
Sweden
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 6.71% (-0.05)
Total : 41.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 25.71%
Greece
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.44% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.06% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 4.5% (-0.01)
Total : 33.1%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 59' goal
  • Albin Ekdal 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 69' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Mavropanos 58'
  • yellowcard Anastasios Bakasetas 61'
  • yellowcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 76'
  • redcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 86'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 8, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 8' yellowcard
  • Andreas Bouchalakis 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Anastasios Bakasetas 62' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 78' goal
  • yellowcard Viktor Claesson 53'
  • yellowcard Filip Helander 70'
  • goal Robin Quaison 80'
  • yellowcard Isaac Kiese Thelin 89'