Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Greece had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Greece win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.