International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Icahn Stadium
  • Cody Gakpo 32' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 75' yellowcard
  • Guus Til 87' redcard
  • Cody Gakpo 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Rustam Ashurmatov 67'
  • goal Igor Sergeev 90'+2'

Netherlands vs Uzbekistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 3, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria

Uzbekistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 2.00am
Canada 2 - 0 Uzbekistan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.28% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%) , while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Netherlands 56.4% (-0.04)
Draw 26.28%
Uzbekistan 17.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.41% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.35% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 57.65% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 22.63% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.37% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.18% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.82% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Netherlands 37.7%
Draw 42.17%
Uzbekistan 20.13%

Team To Score First

Netherlands 56.86% (-0.01)
No Goal 10.2% (+0.01)
Uzbekistan 32.94%

Corners

Over 8 52.77%
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 35.92%
Over 9 41.67%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 47.23%
Over 10.5 31.63%
Under 10.5 68.37%

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 46.92%
Under 1.5 53.08%
Over 2.5 21.65% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 78.35% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.98% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.02% (-0.03)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 49.29% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 50.71% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 17.59% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 82.41% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.63% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.37% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.11% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Netherlands 56.39%
Draw 26.28%
Uzbekistan 17.29%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 15.1% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.47% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 7.88% (+0.02)
Total : 56.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 10.2% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.28%
Uzbekistan
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.15%
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.01% (+0.03)
Total : 17.29%