Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.44% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%) , while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.