International Friendlies
Jun 2, 2026 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Toronto Stadium
  • Liam Millar 40' yellowcard
  • Derek Cornelius 43' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio  58' goal
  • Jayden Nelson 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Ganiev 2'
  • yellowcard Farrukh Sayfiev 9'

Canada vs Uzbekistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 12.30am
Canada 0 - 0 Tunisia

Uzbekistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 30, 2026 3.00pm
Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Venezuela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 32.28% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 27.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.09%) , while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Canada 40.42% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 32.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Uzbekistan 27.31% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 40.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 32.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 67.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 15.15% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 84.85% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 7.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 92.93% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Canada 27.07% ▲ (+0.47)
Draw 49.35% ▼ (-0.58)
Uzbekistan 23.58% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Canada 47.91% ▲ (+0.36)
No Goal 14.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Uzbekistan 38% ▼ (-0.30)

Corners

Over 8 46.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 12.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 41.24% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 9 35.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 53.25% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 25.85% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 10.5 74.15% ▲ (+0.11)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 30.83% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 69.17% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 10.49% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 89.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 2.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.18% ▼ (-0.02)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 57.39%
Under 0.5 42.61%
Over 1.5 21.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 5.98% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 94.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.51% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Canada 40.41%
Draw 32.27%
Uzbekistan 27.3%
Canada
1-0 @ 14.81% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.41%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.09% ▼ (-0.07)
1-1 @ 13.92% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.27%
Uzbekistan
0-1 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.3%