Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Japan has a probability of 30.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).