World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 14, 2026 9.00pm
Dallas Stadium

Netherlands vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Japan has a probability of 30.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

Netherlands 44.3%
Draw 25.35% (-0.15)
Japan 30.4% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.7% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.59% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 24.41% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 51.2% (+0.71)
Under 2.5 48.8% (-0.71)
Over 3.5 29.1% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 70.9% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 16.11% (+0.46)
Under 4.5 83.89% (-0.46)

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 43.34% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 56.66% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 19.01% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 80.99% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 6.73% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 93.27% (-0.18)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 65.63% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 34.37% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 31.97% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 68.03% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 11.62% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 88.38% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 3.41% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.59% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Netherlands 44.3%
Draw 25.36%
Japan 30.41%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.59% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.59% (+0.17)
Total : 44.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 25.36%
Japan
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.27% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 2.93% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.27% (+0.13)
Total : 30.41%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2013 12.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Yuya Osako 44' goal
  • Keisuke Honda 59' goal
  • Yasuyuki Konno 81' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael van der Vaart 12'
  • goal Arjen Robben 38'
  • yellowcard Ron Vlaar 87'
World Cup
Jun 19, 2010 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Wesley Sneijder 53' goal