Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 77.99%. A draw has a probability of 15.28% and a win for Iceland has a probability of 6.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.6%) and 3-0 (11.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.9%) , while for a Iceland win it is 0-1 (2.94%).