International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 11.25am
Grenada National Stadium

Japan vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
England 0 - 1 Japan

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.30pm
Haiti 1 - 1 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 77.99%. A draw has a probability of 15.28% and a win for Iceland has a probability of 6.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.6%) and 3-0 (11.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.9%) , while for a Iceland win it is 0-1 (2.94%).

Result

Japan 77.99% (+0.04)
Draw 15.28% (-0.01)
Iceland 6.74% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.64% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.36% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 56.92% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 36.27% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 63.69% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 27.8% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 72.2% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Japan 66.68% (-0.02)
Draw 25.23% (+0.06)
Iceland 8.1% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Japan 76.68% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.83% (+0.01)
Iceland 17.49% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.19% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.55% (+0.02)
Under 8 37.26% (-0.04)
Over 9 40%
Equal 9 11.19% (+0.02)
Under 9 48.81% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 30.01% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.99% (+0.02)

Japan Goals

Over 1.5 68.42% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.58% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 44.18% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 55.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.45% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.55% (+0.04)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 31.92% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 68.08% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 8.54% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 91.46% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 1.67% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 98.33% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.39% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.61% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Japan 77.98%
Draw 15.29%
Iceland 6.74%
Japan
2-0 @ 13.98% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 12.6%
3-0 @ 11.29% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.64% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 24.39% (-0.04)
Total : 77.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.9% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 15.29%
Iceland
0-1 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.33% (-0.02)
Total : 6.74%