International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 11.25am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Koki Ogawa 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kristian Hlynsson 33'
  • yellowcard Stefán Teitur Thórdarson 75'
  • yellowcard Mikael Egill Ellertsson 87'

Japan vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
England 0 - 1 Japan

Iceland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.30pm
Haiti 1 - 1 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 77.86%. A draw had a probability of 15.37% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 6.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.67%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%) , while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Japan 77.86% (-0.18)
Draw 15.37% (+0.16)
Iceland 6.79% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.58% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.55% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 21.45% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 56.75% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 43.25% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 36.14% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 63.86% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 27.64% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 72.36% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Japan 66.61% (-0.07)
Draw 25.26% (+0.03)
Iceland 8.13% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Japan 76.71% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.86% (+0.07)
Iceland 17.43% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 51.27% (+0.24)
Equal 8 11.57% (+0.05)
Under 8 37.16% (-0.28)
Over 9 40.06% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.21% (+0.06)
Under 9 48.73% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 30.05% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 69.95% (-0.12)

Japan Goals

Over 1.5 68.27% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 31.73% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 43.95% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 56.05% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 24.24% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 75.76% (+0.25)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 32.07% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 67.93% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 8.62% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 91.38% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 1.73% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 98.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.42% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.58% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Japan 77.86%
Draw 15.37%
Iceland 6.8%
Japan
2-0 @ 14.01% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 12.67% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 11.25% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.66% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19%
Other @ 24.17% (-0.26)
Total : 77.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.93% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.86% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.03)
Total : 15.37%
Iceland
0-1 @ 2.95% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.35% (+0.01)
Total : 6.8%