World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 15, 2026 3.00am
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Monterrey Stadium
  • Yasin Ayari 7' goal
  • Alexander Isak 30' goal
  • Viktor Gyökeres 59' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 84' goal
  • Yasin Ayari 90'+6' goal
  • goal Omar Rekik 43'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 54'

Sweden vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

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Tunisia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%).

Result

Sweden 45.35% (-0.15)
Draw 25.2% (-0.11)
Tunisia 29.45% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.7% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 24.3% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 51.45% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 48.55% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 29.35% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 70.65% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 16.3% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 83.7% (-0.35)

Sweden Goals

Over 1.5 44.25% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 55.75% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 19.69% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 80.31% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 7.06% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 92.94% (-0.11)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 64.86% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 35.14% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 31.24% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 68.76% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 11.22% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 88.78% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 3.26% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.74% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Sweden 45.35%
Draw 25.19%
Tunisia 29.43%
Sweden
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.92% (+0.09)
Total : 45.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 25.19%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12% (+0.13)
Total : 29.43%

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