World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 15, 2026 3.00am
Monterrey Stadium

Sweden vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Tunisia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Tunisia has a probability of 29.45% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Tunisia win is 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).

Result

Sweden 45.35%
Draw 25.2% (-0.06)
Tunisia 29.45% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.8% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 24.16% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 51.6% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 48.4% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 29.4% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 70.55% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 16.35% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 83.65% (-0.22)

Sweden Goals

Over 1.5 44.33% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 55.67% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 19.74% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 80.26% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 7.09% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.91% (-0.10)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 35.06% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 31.34% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 68.66% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 11.28% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 88.72% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 3.28% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.72% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Sweden 45.35%
Draw 25.2%
Tunisia 29.45%
Sweden
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.72% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.94% (+0.09)
Total : 45.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 25.2%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.14% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.13% (+0.05)
Total : 29.45%

Build-up

Predicted Lineups