Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Tunisia win it was 1-0 (6.98%).